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88 Energy Ltd Share Price - 88E, RNS News, Articles, Quotes, & Charts (LON:88E)

xAmplification
November 26, 2019
over 6 years ago

88 Energy Ltd (LON:88E) has announced a significant update regarding its ongoing operations in Alaska, specifically related to the Charlie-1 well, which is part of its Project Icewine. The company confirmed that it has successfully completed the drilling phase of the well and is now advancing towards the completion and testing stages. This announcement comes as 88 Energy seeks to further delineate its resource potential in the North Slope region, an area known for its hydrocarbon reserves. The well was drilled to a total depth of 10,300 feet, and preliminary data suggests the presence of hydrocarbons in the targeted zones. The company is now preparing for a flow test, which is expected to commence in the coming weeks. This operational update is crucial as it marks a pivotal moment in 88 Energy's strategy to unlock the value of its Alaskan assets.

Historically, 88 Energy has faced challenges in its exploration efforts, with previous wells yielding mixed results. However, the successful drilling of Charlie-1 is a positive step forward, particularly as it aligns with the company’s broader strategy to establish a foothold in the competitive North Slope oil play. The company has previously indicated that it aims to leverage its existing infrastructure and knowledge of the region to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs. The successful completion of this well could provide a clearer picture of the resource potential and ultimately lead to a more robust valuation for the company.

From a financial perspective, 88 Energy currently has a market capitalisation of approximately £60 million. The company reported a cash balance of £10 million as of its last quarterly update, with a burn rate of around £1.5 million per quarter. This suggests a funding runway of approximately six to seven months, assuming no additional capital is raised. Given the capital-intensive nature of oil exploration and production, the company may need to consider further financing options to support ongoing operations and any potential development activities that may arise from the results of the Charlie-1 well. The risk of dilution remains a concern, particularly if the company opts for equity financing to bolster its cash reserves.

In terms of valuation, 88 Energy's enterprise value stands at approximately £50 million, which translates to an EV per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) of around £5. This valuation metric is relatively low compared to its direct peers in the exploration stage within the North Slope region. For instance, Pantheon Resources (AIM:PANR), which has a market capitalisation of £150 million and an EV per BOE of approximately £15, presents a stark contrast. Another peer, Block Energy (AIM:BLOCK), has an EV per BOE of around £10, further highlighting the potential undervaluation of 88 Energy based on its current operational progress and resource potential. This disparity in valuation metrics suggests that if the Charlie-1 well delivers positive results, there could be significant upside potential for 88 Energy's share price.

The execution track record of 88 Energy has been mixed, with the company previously revising its timelines and operational targets. However, the successful drilling of the Charlie-1 well indicates a potential shift in momentum. The management team has historically faced scrutiny regarding their ability to meet operational milestones, and the upcoming flow test will be a critical indicator of their execution capabilities. Should the flow test yield encouraging results, it could bolster investor confidence and support a more favourable valuation.

One specific risk that arises from this announcement is the uncertainty surrounding the flow test results. While the preliminary data suggests the presence of hydrocarbons, the actual flow rates and the economic viability of the resource are yet to be determined. Additionally, the North Slope region is known for its harsh weather conditions, which can impact operational timelines and costs. Any delays or adverse results from the flow test could negatively affect the company's share price and investor sentiment.

Looking ahead, the next measurable catalyst for 88 Energy will be the results from the flow test, which is expected to commence within the next month. This testing phase will be critical in determining the commercial viability of the hydrocarbons encountered in the Charlie-1 well. The outcomes of this test will not only influence the company's operational strategy but also its financial outlook and potential for future capital raises.

In conclusion, the announcement regarding the successful drilling of the Charlie-1 well is a significant development for 88 Energy, marking a pivotal moment in its operational strategy. While the company has a solid cash position and a reasonable burn rate, the need for additional funding remains a concern, particularly given the capital-intensive nature of the oil sector. The current valuation metrics suggest that 88 Energy may be undervalued compared to its peers, but this is contingent on the results of the upcoming flow test. The announcement can be classified as significant, as it has the potential to materially impact the company’s valuation and operational trajectory, depending on the outcomes of the testing phase.

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